Jesse Frederik

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Work

Have climate models got global warming right? September 2026 Three generations of climate models (CMIP3, CMIP5, CMIP6) against five global temperature records, updated daily. A live replication of Zeke Hausfather’s model–observation comparison.
Do Australia’s politicians think like its voters? June 2026 Australian voters vs the candidates who run for office on asylum, crime, immigration, tax and the republic (Australian Election Study 1987–2025 & Candidate Study 1987–2019). Survey-weighted and vote-weighted.
Which jobs are most open to immigration? June 2026 Pro-immigration attitudes for every ISCO occupation across Europe (ESS, 2012–2023), with confidence intervals and green/radical-right voter benchmarks. English/Dutch.
Where do voters and Bundestag members stand? June 2026 German voters vs elected Bundestag members on immigration, taxes, climate and more (GLES, 2013–2025). English/Dutch.
When a slope looks like a step June 2026 An interactive reanalysis of Cremaschi et al. (2025): a 2010 Italian municipal reform and the rise of the far right.